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Wednesday, February 23, 2022

14.8 at 10:30 PM Wednesday 2-23-22:

Flood warning extended along Tonawanda Creek tonight, Thursday

Route 63 will be closed in both directions until further notice between Fletcher Chapel Road and Lewiston Road, according to an advisory from NY-Alert. The closed section of road runs from Basom in Genesee County to Shelby in Orleans County.

UPDATE, 8:30 p.m.: The flood warning for the Tonawanda Creek at Batavia has been extended until 1 p.m. Thursday, and the forecast flooding changed to moderate severity from minor. The warning affects Genesee, Wyoming, Erie and Niagara counties.

At 4 p.m. Wednesday, the creek was at 9.3 feet, the highest stage in the past 24 hours. Minor flooding is occurring, according to the Weather Service. Flood stage is 9 feet. The river is expected to rise to a crest of 10.3 feet just after midnight tonight, and then fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.

At 10 feet, moderate flooding occurs along West Main Street and South Main Street in Batavia, and along the creek from Batavia to East Pembroke, extending to the Tonawanda Indian Reservation. Flooding will mainly impact roads, with some residential and commercial flooding is possible, the Weather Service said.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.3 feet on Feb. 19

Original story, 5 p.m.:

Flood warnings will be in effect until Thursday for parts of the region.

The National Weather Service has issued a flood warning for Oatka Creek at Garbutt, affecting Monroe and Genesee counties, until early Thursday afternoon.

Rain and snowmelt have led to rising levels on creeks and rivers. Flows in rivers and creeks will increase and reach critical levels.

For the Oatka Creek, including Garbutt, minor flooding is forecast.

At 4 p.m. Wednesday, the creek was at 5.9 feet. Flood stage is 6 feet.

At flood stage, general flooding of agricultural land begins with some basement flooding in Scottsville and Garbutt, according to the Weather Service.

The river is expected to rise above flood stage late this afternoon to a crest of 6.1 feet this evening. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 6.2 feet on March 19, 2003.

The flood warning has been extended until just after midnight tonight for the Genesee River at Avon, affecting Livingston and Monroe counties, and for the Genesee River, including Wellsville, Portageville, Mount Morris Dam, Avon, Rochester and Honeoye Falls. Minor flooding is occuring and minor flooding is forecast.

At noon Wednesday, the river was at 33.3 feet, the maximum stage in the previous 24 hours. Flood stage is 33 feet, leading to river overflows at many areas from Geneseo to Scottsville, but mainly in agricultural lands with little damage to structures, according to the Weather Service.

The river is expected to rise to a crest of 33.5 feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage this evening.

This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.4 feet on March 6, 1979.

A flood watch remains in effect until 7 tonight for a portion of Western New York, including Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Genesee, Livingston, Monroe, Niagara, Orleans, Wyoming and northern and southern Erie counties.

Flows are already high on many area creeks and rivers, and the combination of snow melt from Tuesdays warm weather and rainfall will cause water levels to rise again. This will bring the risk of flooding along some rivers and creeks due to high flows.

A half to one inch of rain that fell over the region on Tuesday, combined with snow melt from 50 degree temperatures, has led to significant runoff into area tributaries. This will result in rises on larger creeks and rivers, and potentially will cause flooding at some flood prone areas.

There is the potential for a winter storm from Thursday night through Friday that may cause hazardous travel conditions across the GLOW region, and also Monroe, Niagara, Allegany, Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, and northern and southern Erie counties.

This winter storm will have the potential to cause accumulating snow, sleet, and freezing rain.

No advisories have been issues at this time.

A winter storm watch that includes Steuben County will be in effect from late Thursday evening through Friday evening. Heavy snow is possible, with total snow accumulations of 5 to 7 inches.

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