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Monday, November 23, 2020

Thanksgiving outlook: Will
rain or snow hamper holiday plans?

Some people across the United States are planning on holding Thanksgiving outside this year, in order to social distance. The weather, however, may make that harder depending on where you live.

With the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, traditional holiday celebrations and family gatherings will look a bit different this year nationwide. One aspect of the holiday will remain unaffected however, and that is what Mother Nature will decide to throw at us.

Some Americans may celebrate Thanksgiving in new ways, holding gatherings, meals and activities outdoors to maximize social distancing. This can also lead to an increased exposure to what can often be less-than-ideal November weather. However, for millions of Americans across the center of the nation, the weather should cooperate for families looking to spend some time outdoors.

The CDC said virtual holiday gatherings with family members outside of the household are a safe option to avoid spreading the coronavirus. (Nattakorn Maneerat / iStock / Getty Images Plus)

Holiday travel is expected to be well below normal this year given the ongoing circumstances and continued concerns of further spreading of the virus. AAA estimates a reduced amount of travelers this year compared to 2019, which may result in fewer weather-related travel concerns as Americans choose to stay home to celebrate.

"With health and government officials stressing that staying home is the best way to protect yourself and others from getting sick, AAA anticipates at least a 10% drop in travel – the largest one-year decrease since the Great Recession in 2008," the travel agency's annual holiday travel forecast said.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued guidelines around the upcoming Thanksgiving holiday, which urged people to celebrate virtually with family members outside of their household, adding that "small household gatherings are an important contributor to the rise in COVID-19 cases." Also, the agency noted that the guidance is meant to supplement rather than replace statelocal, territorial or tribal health and safety laws, rules and regulations on gatherings.

With that being said, let's take a look at the coast-to-coast outlook for turkey day:

Clashing air masses to dampen East Coast:

A storm system slated to trek across the nation in the days leading up to Thanksgiving will likely hinder outdoor plans for residents up and down the East coast of the United States. Similarly on Thanksgiving Day, residents from Portland, Maine, to Daytona Beach, Florida, should be prepared for wet weather during the daytime hours.

"A storm system moving through the East Coast on Thanksgiving Day could force some people indoors who may have hoped otherwise. Places such as BostonNew York City and Philadelphia could all get dampened by rain, but if this storm moves along any quicker it may start to dry out later in the afternoon," AccuWeather Meteorologist Renee Duff explained.

Thanksgiving celebrations will look a lot different in New York City this year, with the Macy's Day Parade needing to make adjustments to their original plan in order to minimize crowds and attempt to keep all participants properly socially distanced. The event usually draws in over a million onlookers to the city streets, however this year will be quite different. On top of the adjustments being made by the parade coordinators, Mother Nature may try to aid in keeping spectators at home, as wet weather looks to be in the offing Thursday morning.

Although the forecast looks wet for the Big Apple, temperatures are expected to climb a few degrees above average into the middle 50s, a far cry from just two years ago where temperatures failed to reach 30 degrees Fahrenheit.

Many other cities from coastal New England down into the mid-Atlantic states can expect a similar scenario on Thursday as well.

Drying out across the South:

A rollercoaster ride of a forecast is in the cards across the South this year, as showers and thunderstorms will target the region before the big holiday. Severe thunderstorms and the threat for flooding rainfall will sweep across portions of the South and Midwest from Tuesday to Wednesday, but as the storm slides eastward for Thanksgiving, the weather should rebound quite nicely in many areas.

In the wake of the departed storm system, an area of high pressure will promote dry and settled weather in Dallas, Memphis, New Orleans, Atlanta and many other metropolitan areas across the South. Outdoor plans will get the green light form Mother Nature as afternoon temperatures will climb into the 60s and 70s in many locales.

The aforementioned storm system may still keep a few lingering showers for some across the Southeast on Thanksgiving, potentially hindering outdoor plans. Although temperatures will climb into the lower 80s across a majority of the Sunshine State, this may be one area where wet weather tries to linger into turkey day. Showers and a few rumbles of thunder may be largely limited to the northern half of Florida during the day on Thursday, leaving places like Miami and Key West comfortably mild and sunny.

Quiet conditions to grace the Midwest and Plains:

The same storm system that will bring heavy rain and thunderstorms across the South on Wednesday will also bring along messy weather to the Midwest prior to the holiday. But in similar fashion, adverse conditions will translate eastward by Thanksgiving, allowing for dry and seasonably mild conditions to encompass the region.

Temperatures 5-10 degrees above average can be expected in places like Chicago, St. Louis and Minneapolis on Thursday. And along with the comfortable late-November temperatures, a blend of clouds and sunshine, and a relatively light southwest breeze could even allow for some outdoor plans to go off without a hitch.

Stormy pattern to ease back across the Northwest:

A majority of the week leading up to Thanksgiving will feature rain and mountain snow across the Northwest, however there looks to be a brief reprieve in the wet weather just in time for the holiday.

"Cold conditions with a few snow showers are expected across the high terrain of the Northwest, but areas closer to the coast, such as Seattle and Portland, Oregon, should wind up mostly dry," Duff added.

Even though Thursday is expected to feature largely dry conditions, there could still continue to be travel issues across mountain pass roadways in Washington, Oregon, northern Idaho, western Montana and northwestern Wyoming in the wake of the persistently stormy pattern prior to the holiday.

Dry and breezy across the Southwest:

The dry weather pattern will likely stay put across the Southwest for the holiday in places like Los Angeles, Phoenix and Las Vegas. Ample sunshine and seasonable temperatures should also allow for outdoor activities to go off without a hitch as well.

Temperatures will drop back from their early week highs in many places as cooler air filters southward as the week progresses, so a long-sleeve shirt may end up being a better option than a t-shirt and shorts in many areas. Still, temperatures in the mid-60s across the Los Angeles Basin to the mid-70s in southern Arizona will result in some of the best weather nationwide.

"Across Southern California, gusty winds will begin to ramp up on Thanksgiving Day, leading to increased wildfire concerns. So anyone with plans to use outdoor flames or turkey fryers should exercise caution," Duff explained. Although wind gusts will begin to increase during the day on Thursday, an even higher fire threat is expected in the days to follow after Thanksgiving.   Courtesy of AccuWeather News

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Walter D. “Pete” Mairs, 81, died peacefully on July 23, 2021. Born in Avon, N.Y., on Sept. 3, 1939, Pete was a longtime resident of Geneva, N.Y., and these past many years in Buffalo, N.Y., as well as his beloved Silver Lake. Pete is survived by his wife, Linda Bergstrom Mairs, a loving and true companion; children, Mimi C. Mairs, Jonathan B. Mairs; sisters, June Huff, Helen Dole; brother, Thomas Mairs; stepchildren, Daniel Brinkworth, Jennie Ramsey; sister-in-law, Anne Bergstrom, eight beautiful grandchildren, and nieces and nephews. A service and celebration of life is planned for the fall when all can share the joy of Pete’s life together. Arrangements by Stephenson – Dougherty Funeral Home, Avon, N.Y.

Editor's Note: It was a privilege knowing and working with Pete Mairs during his presidency of the Silver Lake Institute. He was a kind and gentle man, but also firm in his leadership. I served as Treasurer and Chaplain of SLI during those years and I could always depend on Pete's presence in the worship service. He was a man of faith and a gem of a human being. May he rest in God's care.


Gerald C. Sahrle, 80, of Perry, passed away on Sunday, Oct. 24, 2021, at Strong Memorial Hospital in Rochester. He was born on Oct. 10, 1941, in Wayland, N.Y., to the late Charles A. and Helen I. (Blowers) Sahrle. Gerry was a line foreman for 32 1/2 years for NYSE&G, working out of the Perry and Hamburg locations, and was a Town of Perry Councilman. He was a member of the Free and Accepted Masons of the Constellation Lodge -404 in Perry. He was an avid fisherman, hunter and woodworker. He is survived by his wife, Valary A. (Conley) Sahrle; 1 son, Gerald (Pamela) Sahrle II of Silver Springs; 2 sisters, Millie Edmond of Greece, Bonnie Fink of Winston-Salem, N.C., 3 brothers, Ronald (Linda) Sahrle of Dansville, Robert (Susan) Sahrle of Springwater, Kenneth Sahrle of Dansville; 5 grandchildren, Bradley Musscarella, Stone and Winston Sahrle, Conley and Cooper Gayton; along with many nieces, nephews and friends. Along with his parents, he is preceded in death by a brother, Thomas Sahrle, who passed away in 2012. Services will be held at the convenience of the family. Gerry will be laid to rest in West Perry Cemetery. Memorial contributions may be made to the Perry Center Fire Department, P.O. Box 204, Perry, NY 14530. For more information, please call (585) 237-2626 or to leave a message of condolence, visit www.eatonwatsonfuneralhome.com. Arrangements completed by Eaton-Watson Funeral Home, LLC. 98 North Main Street, Perry, NY 14530.

Editor's Note: Gerald and Valarie could always be seen in the family pew with Pamela, Stone and Winston at Perry First United Methodist Church and continue to be loved. Gerry will be sorely missed. Both were supporters of the Arts at the Silver Lake Institute and Valarie was active in painting and participating in the Annual Show in August. Valarie's presence was always valued and appreciated.


"Kathy P." passed November 8, 2021, of Hamburg and Boston, NY. Beloved daughter of Joseph and Barbara Michalak; loving sister of Daniel Michalak; devoted wife of the late Jeffrey Praczkajlo; cherished mother of Jennifer (Shawn) Jump; loving babcia of Lily Jump; also survived by many beloved family members and friends who became her family. A Celebration of Life will be held at a later date.

Editor's Note: "Kathy P." as she was better known to us at Silver Lake was an annual summer visitor for most of the last number of years at the invitation of Silver Laker Julia Hoffner. She stayed at the Hoffner Cottage, and became known as both the fun visitor with the vivacious smile to the neighbors at the intersection of Haven Ave. and the Ames Walkway. Kathy P. and Julie could be seen walking and talking between the cottage and the Hoffner boathouse where they could be close to the water. She was also occasionally seen at the Saturday morning breakfasts at Stoody Hall. Her stay was anywhere between 4 days and a week where she had the opportunity to develop a love for Silver Lake. She was not yet eligible for retirement when late last week she developed "a cold" and had to remain home from her job. She did not update her condition over the weekend so the local police made a wellness visit and found her deceased on Monday. She was one of those many people who found Silver Lake and friendship for brief respites where she also found new strength and energy to return to work. She is being particularly mourned by those in the Haven/Ames neighborhood. She will be memorialized next summer at the annual Celebration of Life Memorial Service at Epworth Hall.


Brenda Joan Paddock, 82, of Perry, born April 15, 1939, now resides in heaven with her Lord and Savior Jesus Christ. Brenda met Jesus as her Savior in 1965. She met him in person on Nov. 14, 2021. She had a beautiful homecoming with music, singing and praying, leading her into Glory. Her last words were “I am well, I am well.”

Brenda’s greatest loves were her family and friends. Brenda had five children with her husband Roger: Don and Daelene Paddock of Florida, Jody and Tim Von Sanden of Pavilion, Bradley and Jeanie Paddock of Warsaw, Jennifer and Paul Guy of Massachusetts, and Nathan and Jill Paddock of Perry.

Brenda dearly loved her grandchildren: Jessica Morillo, Nikki and Clint O’Brien, Luke Paddock, Paul Paddock, Ian and Brooklyn Paddock, Joe and Louana Paddock, Burke and Megan Paddock, Aaron Paddock, Ellen Paddock, Andrew Paddock, Rachael Paddock, Abigail Paddock, Erik and Cassandra Von Sanden, Jacquelyn and Michael Jones, Tim Von Sanden, Brandon and Brandee Paddock, Jamey and Laura Paddock, Peter and Kara Guy, Candy and Jay Waitkevich, Marlo and Ryan Bolger and Jenna and Rory Peterson.

Brenda was blessed and loved her great grandchildren: Chloe, Olivia and Nicholas Von Sanden, Joshua and Jaxon Morillo, Jameson and Cassandra O’Brien, Atlas Paddock, Noah and Ezra Jones, Colton, Brantley and Charlotte Guy, Cameron Waitkevich, Amelia Bolger and Brennen Leonard.

Brenda is also survived by her brother and sister in laws; Frank and Emma Paddock, Viva and Jim Phillips-Richardson and Kurt and Lynn Paddock.

Brenda first started working as a secretary at Perry Central School. She then assisted her husband building Paddock’s Breeding Service. Roger and Brenda together built and ran the Sandsabarn teenage nightclub. Brenda was owner and operator of Serendipity Travel. Brenda’s pleasures included playing organ and piano. She played at a number of area churches along with performing for her loved ones. UPDATED -- Brenda also played with conviction at both indoor and outdoor services at the Silver Lake Institute where her grandson, Luke, sang at Epworth Hall on several occasions and was appreciated by all who heard his inspiring voice.

Brenda was preceded in death by her parents Noble and Freda Buckland, her husband Roger and son Bradley.

A Committal service at West Perry Cemetery will be held tomorrow, Wednesday, November 17 at 11 a.m., followed by a Celebration of Life at LaGrange Baptist Church at 4 p.m.

Memorial donations may be made in Brenda’s honor to the LaGrange Baptist Church 7092 LaGrange Rd. Perry, NY 14530 or to the First Congregational Church P.O. Box 156 Perry, NY 14530. Arrangements completed by Eaton-Watson Funeral Home, LLC. 98 N. Main St., Perry, N.Y. 14530. For more information or to sign the online guest registry please visit www.eatonwatsonfuneralhome.com.

AUGUST 4-7, 2022

AUGUST 4-7, 2022
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