____G. Franklin, Editor & Publisher __ ___ _https://www.SilverLakeDailyNewsletter.com................(585) 493 4003___.._ ___ Email: SLDN@mail.com
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Thursday, January 31, 2019

Afterglow of Winter Sunset

Last Day of January, 2019

After the Survivor Official Deadline:
37* Signed Up with 3 Maybe's

The weather bureau would have us believe that there are 3 inches of snow to arrive here in eastern Wyoming County by 7 pm Thursday.** We haven't had snow since 7 pm Tuesday which was the official beginning of the storm. Whether or not we get snow this week, we are "survivors" due to our year-round residency at Silver Lake and/or WNY!  Looks like a great Saturday to celebrate Ground Hog's Day, our friendships and our potentially new friendships. See you Saturday afternoon! ($5 per person will help cover pizza costs; other items are donated.)
*Update Fri., 12:30pm; 2:45pm; 5:20pm
** NWS changed forecast; no snow for eastern Wyoming County.

One Radar Model has Silver Lake Receiving 3" of Snow Today but the Bitter Wind Chill is the Real Story

Despite the radar model, Silver Lake is not forecast to receive any snow today, compared to most other areas to our west and north who have received one-to-two feet of snow, we are willing to say that we have dodged another bullet this week and received no precipitation throughout the period of the multi-day storm. Even the wind which has been responsible for much of the problem in Western New York, also left us alone as we experienced no substantial wind affect from Tuesday to the present.

As Silver Lake approaches Noon today (it is currently 11:34 am), we are experiencing bright sunshine and -mostly blue skies. The temperature is 2°F but the wind chill is closer to -17°F. We have received no precipitation ever since the start of the winter storm on Tuesday. There is a fairly steady breeze which contributes to the bitter cold. Throughout the storm period, one could consistently see the imaginary wall appearing on the radar screen through the center of Wyoming County separating the east of the county from the west, with the east receiving none of what was being forecast for "Wyoming County."

Both the NYS Governor and Lt. Governor have been in WNY since yesterday, mainly chastising tractor-trailer drivers for traveling through the ban on the NYS Thruway, and also urging residents to follow the instructions of their locally elected leaders. Mother Nature has gone out of her way to put on quite a mid-winter show this week including the art work of Jack Frost. Our thanks to "her" for allowing us to enjoy the show without having to participate!


Jack Frost's Art Display on the remaining single glass windows in my porch.

Today is Jan. 31st: Last Official Day to Register for Saturday's Survivors' Party

Whether we get snow today or not, we still, as year-round residents of SLI and/or WNY, qualify as "survivors" and look forward to getting together with friends and meeting some of the new residents. What a great opportunity for the middle of Winter!  There are between 37 and 42 (the last 5 are positive maybe's).

2 Days out of the 3 Day Storm: No Snow; What will Today Bring?

We will be watching for you--particularly those of our readers who follow the news here at Silver Lake from distant states. We will also be covering the Survivors' Party happening in two days on Saturday. Let us know what's happening with you in your location!

Wednesday, January 30, 2019

Weather Updated: Jan 30 - 8:23 PM
Issued by the National Weather Service
For Wyoming County, New York

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT UNTIL 10PM EST WED ...

LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND STRONG WINDS ARE CREATING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THIS EVENING... 

Editor: I am bumping the balance of this story to the "read more" page because as of 11:15 pm, the forecast is not affecting the Silver Lake Basin. We have had no snow for Tuesday or Wednesday and minimal wind.


Weather Updated: Jan 30 4:02 PM
Issued by the National Weather Service
For Wyoming County, New York

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT UNTIL 6 PM EST WED ...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT WYOMING... ERIE... NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND GENESEE COUNTIES... 

AT 3:56 PM EST, TWO BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE PRODUCING SNOW FALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ALONG WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO. TEMPERATURES ARE BELOW ZERO WITH WIND CHILLS NEAR -25 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... 
Weather Updated: Jan 30 2:12 PM
Issued by the National Weather Service
For Wyoming County, NY


SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT 
UNTIL 4:15 PM EST WED
 A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT WYOMING, ERIE, NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND GENESEE COUNTIES.

Editor: I am bumping this to the "read more" page since it is not currently applying to the Silver Lake Basin nor any of eastern Wyoming County with the exception of the dangerous Wind Chill Warnings.

Blizzard Warning


Editor: I am bumping this to the "read more" page since it is not currently applying to the Silver Lake Basin nor any of eastern Wyoming County with the exception of the dangerous Wind Chill Warnings.

Reservations for Survivors Party Rocket up to 31; Deadline: Thursday, 5:00 pm

During the course of our advertising blitz, folks began talking to one another about the enjoyable time they had at last year's gathering of survivors and figured out that they owed it to themselves to check it out by making a reservation for this year's Survivors' Party. Last Year, conversations were the big hit. That might be true again this year, but additional activities are being offered such as sledding, table games, and having the movie, Ground Hog, running as yet another option.

A recommended $5.00 per persons is expected to cover the cost of pizza and drinks. Other expenses have been donated along with the survivor cake and ice cream. Choices of pizza include (1) vegetable, (2)  cheese, (3) Cheese & Pepperoni, and (4) cheese & pepperoni with all the toppings except anchovies (with apologies to anchovy lovers!). Drinks include Decaf Coffee, Tea, Hot Cocoa, water, and the Koinonia Cold Drink Fountain.

 The theme of the evening is Ground Hog Day. Since the Ground Hog is only right 39% of the time, we will also be flipping a coin to see if Spring is coming sooner or later. Flipping a coin has been proven to be right 50% of the time! There should be at least an hour of daylight for sledding if you arrive right about 4:00 pm Saturday and have all skin areas covered because of dangerous wind chills.. Children are welcome also be reservation by tomorrow at 5 pm. Here's hoping to see you there!

'Stand-still Storm' is Actually, Slowly on the Move; Sunshine Under Blue Skies over the Silver Lake Basin; Just 6°
with Very Dangerous Windchills


"I thought 'giddy-up' would get things moving ..."
The storm's movement overnight was through Orleans County. The storm's line is edging southward, passing through Genesee and Monroe counties. The storm has already moved further southward and is affecting the northwestern quarter-to-third of Wyoming County. Snow and wind activity is running about an hour behind current forecasts (as of 9:20 am), according to radar. The  storm has not reached eastern Wyoming County but inching closer to Warsaw. Currently, the sun is shining under blue skies in the Silver Lake Basin as of 9:56 am.

Meals on Wheels for Wyoming County were cancelled for today and Thursday. Friday and weekend frozen meals will be delivered Friday. The Buffalo Airport has received 12-inches of snow. Rochester has 8-inches of snow while Syracuse has 6-inches of snow. Current white-out conditions in the West Seneca and Orchard Park areas. Traffic and road departments are thanking WNY residents for remaining off the roads, enabling more efficient clearing the snow from the roads.


SCHOOL CLOSINGS & DELAYS--CLOSED:
  • Perry Central Schools 
  • Warsaw Central Schools
  • Warsaw Head Start
  • Genesee Community College, Lima campus

DELAYED 2 HOURS:
  • Letchworth Central Schools
  • Mount Morris Central School District . . . . . 

    Courtesy of www.wgrz.com/closings
For above: Accuracy up to 10:40 am
UPDATE (11:18 am) -- Cloud cover has taken over the sunshine.
UPDATE (11:37 am) -- Sunshine alternately returns under partially cloudy skies and is muted at times.

Initial Storm Intensity and Direction Redirected by Southwesterly Winds Past Wyoming County to NW of S-L

This Week''s Tuesday through Thursday snow storm has been delayed in its travel through the Buffalo southtowns and through Wyoming County as its milder beginnings carries it in a northeastern pattern. Forecast to arrive at 7 pm Tuesday, Wyoming County residents consider it happily late by nearly 6 hours (this Radar shot is from 12:12 am, but we are writing at 12:40 am). The current pattern could change at any time and place Silver Lake in the middle of the forecast squalls caused by heavy winds.

Tuesday, January 29, 2019

Vegetable Pizza Now Added to Mid-Winter Survivors' Menu this Saturday

The Mid-Winter Survivors' Committee is today announcing the addition of Vegetable Pizza to the Party menu at Koinonia this Saturday at 4 pm. The subject had been raised before but no action had been taken. There will now be a choice of (1) Cheese & Pepperoni; (2) All Toppings except anchovies; (3) Vegetable; and (4) Gluten Free. The Committee is pleased to be able to offer this additional option, opening the doors to accommodate more people and taste preferences. Be sure to let us know which was your favorite before you leave for home.

 Wind Chill Warning
Weather Updated: Jan 29 1:42PM
Issued by the National Weather Service
For Wyoming County, New York

WIND CHILL WARNING FROM 6AM  EST WED UNTIL 6PM EST THU

WINTER STORM WARNING  REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY

WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM EST THURSDAY

Editor: I am bumping this to the "read more" page since it is not currently applying to the Silver Lake Basin nor any of eastern Wyoming County with the exception of the dangerous Wind Chill Warnings.

No Earthquake, Hurricane, nor Wildfire, Just WNY Snow and Cold

Very light snow showers began shortly before 9 am this morning, occurring in an off-and-on pattern as a gentle reminder from Mother Nature that she might have much more on the way for us. From the past several days of a 1-to-2-feet snowfall winter storm warning, down to the current 3-to-6 inches, NWS is still predicting strong winds and therefore turning the snow fall into snow squalls.


NOON UPDATE -- A.M. Summary: Mostly Cloudy with absence of snowfall.
12:15 pm -- Cloud thickness lessens, sky brightens.
4:18 pm -- Very occasional snow flurry (no accumulation yet)
7:11 pm -- Very light coating over the laws and streets.

Just 3 More Days to Reserve for Survivors' Party this Saturday, 4p,
2 of which are Forecast as 'Blizzardy'

We, as Mid-Winter Survivors, are not only looking forward to our annual party and gathering this weekend (Saturday, 4 pm, Koinonia Dining Room), but are also hoping that the forecast snow and "blizzard conditions" won't be quite as bad as forecast. We have this hope because as residents of the eastern section of Wyoming County, it seems to be a 50-50 draw as to "weather" or not we receive all that is usually received by the southwestern section and even northern Wyoming. We've been kind of lucky so far, compared to last year, so this one may "get us." But we are, indeed survivors, and we may have some interesting stories to tell on Saturday. 

Three more reservations were received during the day today. I have been happy to hear of so many of you really looking forward to being there. We would like reservations no later than Thursday (Jan. 31 at 5 pm), but your individual donations ($5) can be contributed at the Koinonia indoor Welcome Table in the main dining hall. I will be looking forward to welcoming you as arrive and fill out your name tag. If you see friends or acquaintances, go ahead and talk to them; and at any time you see someone you don't  know, feel free to introduce yourself and find out who folks are. We will again have table games available but last year the conversations kept people busy. One game of Scrabble was played at one table, but everyone got involved in a variety of conversations. 

We are hoping to have 3 guests from the Perry Main Street Association visiting with us who will be happy to informally answer any questions about the amazing progress being made with the building complex at the corner of Main and Covington Streets after years of neglect. The Committee will have another table with the Ground Hog movie playing in the background. In case you haven't guessed, the theme is Ground Hog Day. Cross your fingers that he doesn't see his shadow!

Monday, January 28, 2019

Wyoming County Storm with Snow,
1 to 2 Feet, Winds 45mph on the
Way but for Eastern Wyoming?

Weather Updated: Jan 28 2:24PM

Issued by the National Weather Service
For Wyoming County, New York


WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4PM EST TUE UNTIL 7PM EST THU ...

WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM TUESDAY TO 7 PM  EST THURSDAY...

WIND CHILL WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

Editor: I am bumping this to the "read more" page since it is not currently applying to the Silver Lake Basin nor any of eastern Wyoming County with the exception of the dangerous Wind Chill Warnings.

What I Learned Today About
Microsoft Passwords and Pins

You may never need this information and I pray that you never do, but here are the lessons that I have learned in the last seven (7) hours as I simply turned on my computer this morning and attempted to enter it.
1. With Microsoft Windows, one can choose to have a shortcut version of one's password that allows one to enter one's personal computer. Months ago, I opted for the shortcut. This shortcut is known as one's "pin." I learned today that the "pins" wear out in time. I know this because (1) Microsoft "re-set" told me so in print; and (2) Mine wore out this morning.
2. Telephone a good friend who can get you into your personal email account and whom you trust to have them do it. Why? Because Microsoft told me in print that I needed to re-set my my "pin" and gave me no other options. It said it would mail me a code number that I needed to insert into the white box on the re-set page.
3. Try not to get discouraged when it acts like you've apparently not done it well because it is rejecting your efforts. Keep going in circles until at least one of the latest codes works. 

This Week's Fishing Report

There is a free State Wide fishing weekend on February 16 and 17. As of the Jan. 24th edition of the Buffalo newspaper there is 5″-6″ of ice at Silver Lake and decent reports of fish have been coming in. We had a lot of rain over weekend so things could change. Dress for the weather and enjoy… you might like it. Fishing is Great!  
Story Courtesy of Randy S. (SLA); Photo Courtesy of Loren Penman (SLI).

Sunday, January 27, 2019

Snow is Lightly Falling, but the
Temps will be in Free Fall this Week

They said the High today was 28 but that must have been before the daylight hours. Along with the wind chill, it has been bitter cold all morning at least since sunrise. It is only 16 degrees now at 5:30 pm and is dropping to 4 degrees for later.

5:30 pm;; Photo Courtesy of SLI

Retired Chaplain Playing Piano

SLI Retired Chaplain and First Methodist Retired Pastor Greg Franklin has agreed to perform on the baby grand piano at the United Methodist Church in Perry. He began this morning and will continue for a 3-month period which is the same time that regular pianist, Michelle Rechberger Klein, will be in Florida. This will include a few weeks during Epiphany, all of Lent, and Easter services. 

During next Sunday's celebration of Holy Communion, Greg will perform a composition of his own. Originally titled "Spiritual Tranquility," it was written last Fall and to date has yet to be publicly performed. His agreement to play accompaniment duets with the Rev. Joanne Brocklehurst, substitute organist, for both congregational singing and occasional solo performances. Joanne has been performing on the organ since regular organist, Martha Button, was dealing with the illness and now loss of her husband, Merville, who died January 13, 2019.

Joanne has also been serving as Choir Director and Bell Choir Directtor since the regular director had to discontinue for family and personal reasons. Greg had actually not been playing any keyboard since the two-hour concert performance with Frederick Schuknecht at the Epworth Hall Chicken Barbecue Fund Raiser July 9, 2017. "I guess the best opportunities happen for me in the odd years," said Greg about his love of performing music. "I look forward to these next 12 weeks in spite of what Mother Nature might, or might not, do for us, or to us, for the remaining winter weeks--and may it pass gently," Greg said.

Fresh, White Coating

The dawn's early light this Sunday morning revealed a fresh coating of pure white snow and within the hour of this revelation, the SLI "plow truck" was on the job clearing what appeared to be easily 2 inches. The obvious question: Is this 2 inch snow fall the one forecast for 7 am to Noon, or is there more on the way shortly? Where's that groundhog when one needs him; maybe he knows.

Actually, statistically speaking, the groundhog is only correct in his "wintery" prediction 39% percent of the time. Statisticians indicate that one, overall, can be more accurate by the flipping of a coin, which, over time, with come out to be 50%.

Setting that aside for the time being, Ground Hog's Day is this next coming Saturday, as is the Mid-Winter Survivors' Party at Koinonia (4 pm). A donation of $5 gets you pizza, cake, ice cream, hot and cold drinks and tons of fun and fellowship. It's the special "wintery" occasion planned especially for the year-round residents of SLI. The kindest thing you can do today or in the next couple of days, is call in your intention to be there so we can be totally prepared. We're looking forward to being with you this 2019 Ground Hog's Day.

Saturday, January 26, 2019

Solar Energy Farm Planned for Castile from Reports in Batavia Daily News

By MATT SURTEL

Snow in the Morning

Give a Winter Shiver and a Quivering Smile: Survivors' Party is 1 Week Away!

The Mid-Winter Survivors' Pizza Party is 7 days away and has received more registrations today for a running sub-total of 22. We are still waiting for seven of last year's attendees to reserve for this year (last year you expressed interest in doing it again). Your early responses will help assist us in setting up and in the ordering process. There will be some gluten free pizza; let us know if you will be taking advantage of this. 493-4003.

MID-WINTERS SURVIVORS' PARTY
Koinonia Dining Hall
February 2, 2019
4:00 pm
Pizza (1) All toppings except anchovies (no anchovies)
Pizza (2) Cheese, Pepperoni, Mushroom
Pizza (3) Gluten Free
Decaf Coffee, Tea, Hot Cocoa, Cold Drinks and Water
Survivors' Ground Hog Cake with Ice Cream

Friday, January 25, 2019

Post-Storm Sunset ...

Alternating Light to Moderate Snow Preceded by Overnight Snowfall

Snow continues off and on with a steady breeze from the midst of the latest snow storm warning. The Warning remains in affect through 7 am Saturday morning. Roads were plowed very shortly after Noon. Meals on Wheels to SLI residents were cancelled for the day. It is currently 21 degrees at Silver Lake with a high today of only 23 and a low tonight of 9. Being on the east side of the county, we are obviously being shielded from the brunt of the storm. We received a 15-minute reprieve in the middle of one of the snow events as the skies cleared and became blue and the sun shown brightly. It didn't last long, but was a pleasant fascination.
1st Update Time: 12:12 pm;  2nd Update Time: 1 pm

Rev. Donald C. Vogel Succumbs at
Age 95 on Monday, Jan. 21, 2019

REVEREND DONALD C. VOGEL age 95 of 12 Columbus Avenue, Mount Morris formerly of Perry Center, died peacefully Monday January 21, 2019 at Highland Hospital in Rochester, NY.

Rev. Vogel who pastored during a significant number of his retirement years at Perry Center Congregational Church, was a frequent Guest Speaker at the SLI Big Blue Dock and at Epworth Hall. His last inspirational talk at the Silver Lake Institute was given at Epworth at the age of 92.

Rev. Vogel was born the son of Frank and Florence (Trenkler) Vogel on March 25, 1923 in Rochester, NY. He joined the Army during World War II from 1942 through 1946 having served in the Pacific Theater. He married Jeanne Alfvin on September 18, 1953. Prior to his retirement in 2008 he was the Pastor at the First Congregational Church of Perry Center for 23 years.

He was also pastor at several churches in Illinois and Chicago from 1957 until 1984. He was a member of the First Congregational Church of Perry Center, Past Chaplain of Perry American Legion Post #350 and Wyoming County American Legion. He belonged to many other organizations.

He is survived by his loving son, John (Brenda) Vogel of Wyoming, NY; 6 Grandchildren, Ashley (Derek), Justin, Jay, Erin, Brandie (Steve) and Amber (Tyler); Several nieces and nephews including Carol Ann Jensen, Anchorage, AK and many dear and loving friends. He was predeceased by his wife Jeanne in 1991, Son Mark in 2015 and his brother Frank. 

Friends may call Saturday, February 2 from 2-4 at the First Congregational Church of Perry Center, 7209 Route 20A, Perry Center, NY where funeral Services will follow calling. Spring Interment at Prospect Hill Cemetery, Perry Center, NY. In lieu of flowers. Memorials may be to the Rev. Donald Vogel Memorial Fund, C/O First Congregational Church of Perry Center, PO Box 156, Perry NY 14530. Arrangements by the JOHN W. MARTIN FUNERAL HOME, 37 Chapel St, Mt. Morris, NY. Sign the online registry at www.johnwmartinfuneralhome.com.

Thursday, January 24, 2019

Readership Stats for Past Week
For Those who Enjoy Statistics

Additional Definition
  • BLUE: The Number of Persons signing into the website during the course of that 24 hour day.
  • GREEN: After signing into the website, this figure reflects the number of pages visited/read.
  • ORANGE: The number of persons (or number of times the same computer) returns to the website more than once within the standard 24 hour period.

Survivors' Running Sub-Total

The Mid-Winter Survivors' Pizza Party has received more registrations today for a running sub-total of 20. We are still waiting for nine of last year's attendees to reserve for this year (last year you expressed interest in doing it again). Your early responses will help assist us in the ordering process. 493-4003. Update (1-30-19) total went to 31.

Winter Storm Warning
For Western Wyoming

Severe Weather Alerts - Silver Lake, NY

  • Winter Storm Warning

    Winter Storm Warning in effect from Friday, 1:00 AM EST until Saturday, 7:00 AM EST. Source: U.S. National Weather Service
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT... Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 9 to 17 inches expected in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE... Western Wyoming, Northern Chautauqua, and Southern Erie counties, and the far northwest corner of Cattaraugus County. This includes the Buffalo area Southtowns.

* WHEN... From 1 AM Friday to 7 AM EST Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS... Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

Wednesday, January 23, 2019

Survivors' Running Sub-Total

The Mid-Winter Survivors' Pizza Party has received 2 more registrations today for a running sub-total of 16. Your early responses will help assist us in the ordering process. 493-4003.

Editor's Plan for Today: Fight Any Freezing Rain on a Trip to Geneva

Resident-Member Frederick Schuknecht has volunteered to drive me up and over to Geneva Foreign and Sports--a family owned vehicle dealership in Geneva, NY. After having no luck in the Perry and Warsaw areas, as far as squeezing into most narrow car doors, I decided to seek out 2-door Coupes because the doors (and openings) are larger. Dan, a member of the dealership, will await my arrival and be prepared for my first test drive of the afternoon.

If you have need to be in touch with me--especially RSVPs--please call in the morning (493-4003) or in the evening. I will be out of town during the afternoon.

UPDATE: Both Mustang and BMW Class 5 did not have enough shoulder room; driver door pushes driver's left arm into steering wheel. Both were in financial range but had to let both go.

Tuesday, January 22, 2019

Wednesday: 2am to 2pm
Freezing Rain

 Winter Weather Advisory
Weather Updated: Jan 22 1:10PM
Issued by the National Weather Service
For Wyoming County, New York

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 2AM EST WED UNTIL 2PM EST WED ...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EST WEDNESDAY... 
* WHAT... FREEZING RAIN EXPECTED. TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH EXPECTED. WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 40 MPH. 
* WHERE... NIAGARA, ORLEANS, MONROE, ERIE, GENESEE, WYOMING, CHAUTAUQUA, CATTARAUGUS AND ONTARIO COUNTIES. 
* WHEN... FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS... PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. THE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS COULD IMPACT THE MORNING COMMUTE. 
* PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERIODS OF SNOW, SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. SUBMIT SNOW AND ICE REPORTS THROUGH OUR WEBSITE OR SOCIAL MEDIA. &&

New Tractor Plays Significant Role
In 2019's First Storm Snow Clearing

While a pickup truck may be a reasonably priced alternative to a number of other pieces of snow-clearing equipment, it wasn't its first purpose. The pickup truck with plow cannot be faulted for the basic job of moderate snow clearing that it does fairly well. Without the height and good-sized bucket such as those features on SLI's new tractor, the vast amounts of snow which need to be moved out of the way requires the use of a bucket with a proper set of over-sized wheels and adequate horsepower. Pushing deep snow around without the ability to actually move it out of the way, creates its own problem of buildup which is actually worse than the initial snow fall.

Although this was our biggest storm of 2019 (so far), it in no way compares to the ravages of snow experienced last year. Consider it a dry run of things that could yet be possible this year or one in the not-too-distant future. I'm fortunate enough to live on a deadend street where I can watch the unique "turns and twists" of the tractor and its bucket in managing to get not only the pavement cleared from one edge to the other, but also completely cleared at the end of the road where it ends. 

The bucket moves the snow in a wider, neater, and--when necessary--higher mound, and sometimes moves it back farther allowing the road to remain clear. Children's play-actions no longer affect how long the pavement stays completely cleared. The bucket also tends to prevent snow from filling-in an already-shoveled driveway. I think that's for what I am most appreciative. The disadvantage, for me, is that it all happens so quickly, I often do not have time to get a photographic shot of the action such as today!

2 More Coming to Survivors: Now 14;
Day-End Photo: Winter Wonderland

 5:10 pm - 1-22-19 - Tuesday

Monday, January 21, 2019

MLK Jr.'s Holiday Sunset

Bright Sunshine, Blue Skies
Contrasts with the -1 Temp

Monday morning presents the contrasting sides of old Mother Nature ... the ground heavily covered with snow and the air filled with frigid temps and dangerous wind chills, fully contrasted by the "false warm" beauty of the sun and sky. The reduced number of TSA officers at airports and the snow and plowed snow piles are creating travel difficulties today. The fan in my heater seems to run continuously as the gas kicks on and off in a healthy attempt to keep the inside as close to comfy warm as possible. Nevertheless there is a coldness hanging near the floor that must be overcome with blankets and it does the trick. The other contrast is between what MJK Jr. stood for as opposed to the attitudes of parts of our nation and parts of the nation's leadership. Have a good and meaningful Martin Luther King Jr. Day today!

The Jan. 19-20, 2019 Snow Storm is Over; We Got the Snow but it Arrived More Slowly, Peacefully than Forecast


Plowed and shoveled snow mounds are a part of this storm's story and remind us of the gradualness of the snow fall and yet the need for clearing it. The hand-shoveled area to the left had been cleared the first day of about six inches, but the late evening and overnight snows filled in the shoveled sections and required a second shoveling on Sunday as seen above. Guessing that we received about six inches the first day and 11 or 12 inches the second day, it was, fortunately, a light snow. Now we are faced with bitter cold wind chills and single figure temperatures. At 12:30 am the Silver Lake temperature is -4 Fahrenheit (-7 at the south end of the Lake and also in Warsaw).

Post Midnight view of the SLI lake shore along Lakeview Ave.
Courtesy of Silver Lake Institute

Sunday, January 20, 2019

Survivor Planning Puts Up Lawn Signs Sunday Afternoon in Place of Mailing Invitations to Spite the Snow Storm

Last year, the Mid-Winter Survivors' Planning Committee did a postal mailing to distribute their invitations to their annual gathering to year round residents. There was both considerable cost and the use of considerable time to accomplish the annual task of communicating the function. This year, as we thought it through, it became obvious that the committee could potentially reach more persons utilizing lawn signs, particularly in the vicinity of the post office, than utilizing the high cost of postage and attempting to update year-old mailing lists.

Gathering Together Year-Round Residents
The snow of the weekend storm continued through this morning but very quickly tapered off in late morning and early afternoon as the sun actually began to shine a little before 2 pm. Fred Schuknecht, one of the committee members, decided it was a good time to get the two signs set in place before night fall and before the temperatures got any lower as forecast. The plan was mapped out well in advance, so Frederick was quick to get the task accomplished. The prime location for one of the two lawn signs is the southeastern corner of Perry Ave. and Wesley Ave. where most visitors to the post office would be reading it quite conveniently.

The second location is the northeasterly corner of Chapman Road at the corner of the Perry Ave. intersection which covers the residents and friends located on Lakeside Ave. and other related side streets that exit onto Chapman. The signs, printed on two sides is shown above on the right.

UPDATE: 1 degree F at Silver Lake at 8:15 pm.

Intelligent Evangelicalism


Science is the study of the intricacies of God's knowledge and thinking. The acceptance of Science is  our acceptance of a powerful gift to us from God. Science is the study of God's Universal Laws and has only begun to scratch the surface of the sum of all the knowledge of God. 

To ignore Science, to reject it, or to place limits on its acceptance is to refuse the extensive and expansive wonder of who God is and to reject the gift itself. The Christian Scriptures contain a small but valuable portion of the wisdom and salvation from God intertwined in a human narration written on and around the available knowledge of ancient times. 

The Bible is a book of faith and not of Science. Science is incomplete without faith. We should be interested and learn from both Science and Theology (the study of God) because each is a valuable segment of the totality of the essence of God. Christian schools should be bastions of determination to keep all the segments of God held together, including the details of Science which reflect the intelligent, useful, and necessary details of the wonder and content of the mind of God.

Editorial Statement

In my opinion, I believe the "trophy" for greatest snow fall and cold earned last year is not in any danger of having to relinquish it ... so far!

UPDATE: The sun is on the verge of breaking through the cloud cover. 12-12-19 pm.

UPDATE: The sun is out and shining brightly. 2:03 pm.

Songs of Winter ...

Jack Frost Nipping at Your Nose ...
Tom and Elizabeth's Cottage in background.

In the Bleak Mid Winter / Snow on Snow ...
Five Foot Pile of Plowed Snow at the End of Haven Ave.

8:48 am Sunday: Snow has Stopped; Several More Inches had Fallen

In what normally would be referred to as a gentle breeze, in the bitter cold of the morning's 9 degrees, it is now more like an alternating harsh breeze, changing from 0 to 12 in no particular order. The flag waves occasionally in near complete exposure, so obviously over 12 mph. Most of last night's snow continued to arrive in the form of a snow shower, although there were brief bouts of slightly larger flakes. Although cloudy, it is not a dingy day!

In the 9:36 am Radar below, we see our current clearing, but we can also see we have another bout of snow coming soon. The tale end of our coming bout of snow can also be seen on the Radar shot below, courtesy of The Weather Channel. As usual, Dan has done an excellent job of keeping the streets cleared on this Martin Luther King Jr. weekend.

No Change ... Yet

Update: Snow Showers continue at the same slow and steady pace as during of today here in eastern Wyoming County at 12:07 a.m. Saturday.

Saturday, January 19, 2019

I Like A Variety of Music which
is a Good Thing Since I May
have to 'Change My Tune'

Not long after writing the previous article, I decided to watch one of the Buffalo stations 11:00 pm News Casts and Weather Forecast. Wow. The entire news cast was about snow and the 4-5 inches that had fallen already with 9 to 12 inches on the way overnight (wind chill -25 to -30 Sunday night over into Monday. Running at the bottom of the screen was the long list of schools and organizations that were closed for Saturday and Sunday which included those who were closed also through Monday. 

The entire "experience" of the Buffalo forecast was such as to say that I may have to accept that we will be receiving a foot-and-a-half in Wyoming County by late in the afternoon on Sunday (mostly overnight Saturday)! My expanded advice is--No Sense in Testing Fate--Try not to Travel! Have a great indoor day😃!

NWS at Buffalo Forecasts Heavier Snow Overnight, Sunday; Bitter Wind Chills;
Driving Advisory; Keep Children Inside

The east side of Wyoming County quite often does not get the full brunt of a westerly storm due to our county hills, the Warsaw valley, and to a limited extent, our own [Silver] Lake. On the other hand, those very factors have not always prevented the storms that are determined to hit us. So here we are again, on a Saturday night, having missed the brunt of what was forecast for Saturday, and yet hearing an almost shocking forecast for overnight Saturday and Sunday morning with occasional snow showers tapering off Sunday afternoon.

Too Cold?
With it all comes the forecast of a 20 below zero wind chill for Monday. We have been reminded that we can do damage to our body without hardly feeling it within such as a short time as 10 minutes! They warn us to keep our children in doors this weekend and we assume that applies to pets also. Even the Governor came on television to advise us to not drive if we did not have to, telling us that even just 2 stuck cars can completely shut down a road. Even our electric company [NYSEG] is warning us to be prepared in case of power failure. One almost gets the impression that staying in bed all day would be the best option!

Indoor Activity
Forecasting for the Silver Lake Water Basin is much like flipping a coin to determine whether or not we will be hit with a storm or not. After all, we are quite used to power failures in the summer when there are, for the most part, no storms. I still have a tendency to take heed of warnings given to us by trained human beings, and yes, that does eliminate Chicken Little! I am one of many who will be found in the warmth of my cottage this weekend alternating between cleaning up, stuffing garbage bags, and cuddling with my living room blankets.

So, for those of you far from Silver Lake, even out of state, I will give you the report on what does or does not occur in terms of snow storms for tonight and tomorrow. Since we had such a hard and snowy winter last year around here, my initial guess is that the storm will continue only as it did today, but don't ask, I will not bet anyone on what might (or might not) happen this year! If you happen to get bored tomorrow, come on over and we can talk, or you can help pack dry garbage or move some furniture and boxes around for me. We might not even notice what's happening outside!

Marine's South Lake Cam Shows Ice Fishermen in the Heavier Snow Fall

Technology helped me identify the locations of tent shelters being used by Ice Fishermen. It was a few days ago that we published a shot of the open water in the Lake. Monday we drop into the deep freeze.  UPDATE: 11 degrees at 2:30 pm.  (2 pm Photo Courtesy of Silver Lake Marine)

Steady Snow Shower at SLI;
Slow Increase to Ground Snow Level

So far, had we not been warned of the Storm on Saturday and Sunday, this wouldn't have appeared as a storm to those of us at SLI. The steady, light snow fall at first glance can't be seen, but only after concentrating on the darker, background areas, can one distinguish the snow shower. It appears there may be an additional 1 inch on the ground adding to the 1 inch from the overnight snow fall. Ironically because of the slow snow fall, plows have not become a regular sight yet. Visibility within the bounds of the Institute is good. UPDATE: 15 degrees at 2:30 pm

Even in this 1:37 pm photo, the camera is not picking up on the snow shower and the tree line can still be seen on the west side of the Lake. The breeze alternates between 0 and 3. (Photo Courtesy of Silver Lake Institute)

Friday, January 18, 2019

NYSEG Preparing for the
Weekend Winter Storm

New York State Electric & Gas (NYSEG) storm readiness teams have been preparing and planning to ensure resources and crews are available to respond to any reports of downed power lines and power outages from storms. We continue to closely monitor weather forecasts, including the potential for a winter storm that could bring significant snowfall and a wintry mix of precipitation through the weekend.

Survivors' Party: 2 Weeks to Go; Committee Cancels Weekend Meeting

This might have been a great "survivors weekend" with the forecast snow storm about to begin by morning hours. Secretly, however, we are happy that we don't have to battle the snow storm and will keep praying for "decent" weather on the weekend of February 2nd at 4 pm. All assignments have been received and the party has the same basic plan as last year with the exception of not doing a mailing this year. Rather, we opted for road signs posted at Perry Ave. and Wesley Ave. and also posted at Chapman Road and Perry Ave.

Please call a friend or neighbor who would enjoy our time together but might not be out and driving this month.... Also, let me encourage you to call in your intentions of being there as soon as possible and no later than Jan. 30th so purchases of supplies and pizza can be ordered in abundant supply. Offer to call in your friend or neighbor's RSVP and/or offer them a ride. Thanks! 493-4003.

The scheduled Planning Committee meeting was to do an item by item review of the details answering any last minute questions and making any last minute suggestions. We will be resorting to "Email Meetings" during the next 2 weeks with a possible meeting next weekend. 

Cloudy Sunrise Today at 7:38 am

Looking Eastward at Sunrise
Looking Eastward Post Sunrise
Courtesy Silver Lake Marine

Storm Watch Officially Becomes
A Storm Warning 3:23 am
For Saturday, Sunday

 Winter Storm Warning
Weather Updated: Jan 18 3:23AM
Issued by the National Weather Service
For Wyoming County, New York

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 10AM EST SAT UNTIL 6PM EST SUN ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... 
* WHAT... HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES EXPECTED. WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 30 MPH. 
* WHERE... SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES AND THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. 
* WHEN... FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. 
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS... TRAVEL COULD BE VERY DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW COULD SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITY. THE COLD WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 20 BELOW ZERO COULD CAUSE FROSTBITE ON EXPOSED SKIN IN AS LITTLE AS 30 MINUTES. 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS: WIDE-SPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL CREATE DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.